Wednesday, 26 April 2017

President Donald Trump and the Mad Emperor 'Act'

It's barely been noticed the way Congressional Investigations into Trump's alleged 'Russian connections' have gone much quieter. Within a week Trump performed a total political somersault and intervened militarily against Assad in Syria, Russia's client, and all seemed mostly to have been forgiven.

Tillerson's sinister Russian links became a sign of his "expertise" in dealing firmly with the Kremlin. Liberals whinging about the fact their even more aggressive and warmongering candidate, Hillary Clinton, lost in a humiliating defeat, then started chiming in with showering praise upon the Leader for being Presidential.

The conspiracy theories about Trump being a Russian stooge mysteriously vanished into thin air. The change in the line required a new way of mentally managing the reality of Trump winning. The shift in line would mean any future Congressional Investigations would be directed more towards Russian attempts at destabilising US 'democracy'.

So now Trump's administration ratchets up the rhetoric against North Korea in another Iraq War style countdown to conflict over Weapons of Mass Destruction ( i.e. nuclear weapons ) that, this time, they actually do have. The UN was accused yesterday of being incapable of dealing with the regime of Kim Jong Un.

As much as North Korea needs dealing with through careful diplomacy , the fact Trump wants to stake out his credentials as a War President does not seem to have been connected to consolidating his 'credibility' domestically a being pro-Establishment and for US Global Power and not the absurd idea he was pro-Russian.

Either Trump really is a master of the Art of the Deal or basically the conspiracy theories showed how any candidate in supposed democracies would simply be 'taken out' if they really threatened to pursue isolationism or not support the existing set of alliance systems and foreign entanglements ( a.k.a "engagements").

The hazard now is the Trump administration feels impelled to reunify and rally America behind him through upping the rhetoric in dealing with resolving conflicts in many flashpoints across the globe. Kissinger style realpolitik would appear to be making a return and that means deploying Trump as Madman or even Mad Emperor.

Partly, this is about having Trump as the 'reality TV' President, the strongman who could literally fire and fry any leader and regime on earth. In dealing with North Korea, the tactic appears to be about pressuring China into threatening Kim Jong Un with pulling all lifelines for his regime, while Trump gears up for war.

The problem is that Trump seems to have let the generals off the leash and neither he nor McMasters are of the calibre of Richard Nixon and Kissinger, who for all their flaws and appalling cruelties, were sane enough to know how to use the madman act as part of a realpolitik strategy that fell short of outright global war.

So in many ways, the US is going back to the 1970s, an era of paranoia and brutal global realpolitik in which strategic realignment is brought about by threatening to unleash ever greater bombing in order to get other Great Powers to exert pressure upon smaller ones as the Globe becomes more openly a Grand Chessboard.

The terrible danger with that is the Cold War was less a conflict over strategic resource interests, though they were always present, than they are in 2017. Syria and Iraq are interconnected with exerting control over energy flows as is the vying for control over the South China Sea. North Korea far much less so.

Britain after Brexit is far more likely to deepen the strategic alignment with the US in conjunction with the Gulf States, with the possibility of Iran being targeted should Trump need to maintain face over Syria: Russia's support for Assad could be countered by diminishing Iranian backed Hizbollah and support through threats.

In Britain, ever the willing junior model pupil, if Corbyn ever came close to winning the election or did, the sheer scale of the dirty tactics and American concern would probably result in some sort of coup d'etat against him for not wanting to be in NATO or because of his dislike and opposition to US led foreign policies and wars.

Freedom to choose can never ever be too free, lest the electorate err.

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